Deep Dive: Adam Engel’s past, present and future with the White Sox

Steel, for real: The Man of Steal had arguably his best season with the White Sox in 2019. (@ManofSteal_15)


“Deep Dive” focuses on the depth of each position in the Chicago White Sox organization. Each position is broken into a five-part series:

  1. Depth in the rookie levels (Dominican through Great Falls)
  2. Depth in A-ball (Kannapolis and Winston-Salem)
  3. Depth in the higher levels (Birmingham and Charlotte)
  4. Under the Radar-type detail on one of the White Sox players at that position
  5. Free agent options at that position

How did he get here?

Unlike most three-year college hitters, Adam Engel was unable to post any above-average year offensively with the exception of stolen bases. As a junior for the Louisville Cardinals, he slashed just .236/.367/.301 in 65 games with nine doubles, two triples, one homer, 28 RBIs, 41 stolen bases, 32 walks (10.3%) and 35 strikeouts (11.3%); he also got hit by pitches a whopping 20 times. In the summer of 2012, prior to his junior season, he didn’t distinguish himself in the Cape Cod League as he slashed just .229/.328/.299.

This is what Baseball America said of him prior to the 2013 draft: “Few players in the 2013 draft can match Engel’s physical ability. He’s a 6-foot-1, 208-pounder who can cover 60 yards in 6.4 seconds, play a major league-caliber center field and display raw power potential. His arm is close to average, which is better than many center fielders. In spite of his first-round tools, his lack of performance at the plate will drop him at least a couple of rounds. While he has some bat speed and strength, he holds his hands too low at the plate and his righthanded swing doesn’t produce enough contact.” The White Sox ended up selecting him in the 19th round of that year’s draft. 

By the end of the 2014 season, Engel had advanced to Winston-Salem, where he played in 21 games. He returned to the Dash in 2015 and slashed .251/.335/.369 in 136 games with 23 doubles, nine triples, seven homers, 43 RBIs, 65 stolen bases, 62 walks (10.2%) and 132 strikeouts (21.7%). At the end of that year, he was the Arizona Fall League MVP as he slashed an incredible .403/.523/.642 in 19 games with nine doubles, two triples, a homer, 10 stolen bases, 16 walks (18.6%) and 11 strikeouts (12.8%). Engel divided the 2016 season among Winston-Salem, Birmingham and Charlotte and combined to slash .259/.344/.406 in 129 games with 30 doubles, 12 triples, seven homers, 46 RBIs, 45 stolen bases, 56 walks (9.6%) and 131 strikeouts (22.5%).  

Engel got off to a bad start with Charlotte to begin the 2017 season, but received the ultimate promotion on May 27. Aside from a brief demotion in June, he played the remainder of the year with the White Sox. After slashing .218/.312/.461 for the Knights in 46 games, he slashed a paltry .166/.235/.282 for the White Sox in 97 games with 11 doubles, three triples, six homers, 21 RBIs, eight stolen bases, 19 walks (5.7%) and 117 strikeouts (34.8%). While he did struggle at the plate with the White Sox in 2018, he performed much better (which admittedly isn’t saying much) as he slashed .235/.279/.336 in 143 games with 17 doubles, four triples, six homers, 29 RBIs, 16 stolen bases, 18 walks (3.9%) and 129 strikeouts (27.9%). He really made his name defensively, however, as he was a finalist in the Gold Glove balloting thanks in part due to homer-saving catches against the Yankees.

Engel’s 2019 with the White Sox

After receiving an early-season demotion with a .212/.268/.346 start, Engel responded favorably in thanks to the tutelage of future White Sox hitting instructor Frank Menechino. In 64 games for the Knights, Engel slashed a very respectable .270/.347/.464 with 13 doubles, four triples, nine homers, 29 RBIs, 13 stolen bases, 22 walks (7.9%) and 62 strikeouts (22.4%). He returned to the White Sox on July 19 and performed much better. In his 89 games in a White Sox uniform this year, he slashed .242/.304/.383 with 10 doubles, two triples, six homers, 26 RBIs, three stolen bases, 14 walks (5.6%) and 78 strikeouts (31.5%). Granted it’s not Silver Slugger material, his 2019 slash numbers were by far the best in his young three-year career.   

Engel’s Achilles heel offensively is the off-speed pitch. This year versus such offerings, he slashed a meager .161/.216/.194. He fared a bit better against breaking pitches (.209/.238/.343), but he mashed fastballs at a .279/.347/.450 clip. His spray chart was terrific as he pulled the ball 38% of the time, with decent percentages straight-away (37.3%) and opposite-field (24.7%). Engel’s BABIP was actually .343, well above-average, despite the fact that his hard-hit rate of 30% was below the league average of 34.5%. Thus, it appears Engel may have actually hit with a little bit of good luck this year. Of course, he struggles with the strikeouts in large part due to his struggles with the off-speed and breaking pitches. Also, part of Engel’s strikeout issues deal with swinging at pitches way off the plate, as he flails at them (20%) far more frequently than league average (7%).

Surprisingly, Engel fared far better on the road (.268/.330/.433) than he did at home (.223/.284/.346) which perhaps may mean he’s trying too hard to hit the long ball at homer-friendly Guaranteed Rate Field. He also performed much better with nobody out (.296/.337/.469) than he did with two outs (.187/.274/.307). While righties handled Engel with relative ease this year (.201/.272/.326), he frustrated southpaws to the tune of .313/.360/.482. With runners in scoring position, Engel actually did quite well as he slashed .283/.328/.433 in those spots. As with nearly everyone, he hit much better when ahead in the count (.263/.408/.491) than behind (.159/.179/.244).  

All this talk dissecting Engel’s offense, and I’ve yet to touch on his defense. By all accounts, he actually enjoyed a better year defensively in 2019 than his Gold Glove-caliber season the year before. According to FanGraphs, his RAR (Runs Above Replacement) shot up from 2.3 to 8.7, which is quite incredible since he barely played more than half the season in the majors. Baseball-Reference give Engel a defensive WAR of 0.5, which nearly equaled 2018’s 0.6, which is amazing because he played in 54 fewer games. Baseball Savant ranks Engel’s Outs Above Average in the 73rd percentile, his outfield jumps in the 83rd percentile, and his sprint speed in the 99th percentile. Engel simply didn’t garner any Gold Glove balloting this year, however, due to his part-time status and because he didn’t make nearly as many headline-grabbing catches.

Despite his usual terrific defensive play, he only garnered an 0.8 bWAR thanks in large part due to his low OPS+ of 83. Engel will likely never become a true offensive force, so it’s really his defense that gives him value. Considering that each WAR point is worth approximately $7.7 million per FanGraphs on the free agent market, and he only earned $555,000 in 2019, he provided the White Sox with a value of $7.145 million.

What does the future have in store for Engel?

Engel will be eligible for arbitration at the end of 2020, so he’ll still be earning the league minimum until that time. After three years of arbitration, Engel would become a free agent for the 2024 season. He likely will compete for the center field spot on Opening Day with Leury García, unless the White Sox determine that Luis Robert will make the team. When Robert does receive his promotion, Engel would be a valuable defensive replacement for Eloy Jiménez and/or the team’s new right fielder, and his bat wouldn’t be so exposed if that were the case. He’s really best suited for left field, however, due to his below-average arm. Despite the fact that Engel hasn’t swiped nearly as many bases with the White Sox as he did in the minors, he could still be used for pinch-running duties as well. Thus, it seems his long-term role with the White Sox would be that of a fourth or fifth outfielder, limiting his arbitration earnings going forward. 


 

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Despite my entire family being Cub fans, I grew up listening to Harry Caray and Jimmy Piersall on the radio as I listened to the entire season of the South Side Hit Men of '77. While it's true I have a myriad of other interests (American history, classic literature, classic rock, classic country, blues, jazz, gardening, family,etc.--not all in that order), few things aside from family surpass my interest in all things baseball--especially the White Sox.

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katiesphil
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All things considered, I’m fine with him as the late-inning defense guy who gets a few PAs against lefties.